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Concerning Marriage – Part I
August 12, 2005
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My young brother is getting married on the Aug 20th, which is a week from today. Yeah, he is younger than I and eagerly to marry himself off. I, however, don’t really have anything to say to his marriage at this point. As you may recall, I am scared of marriage as the previous test confirms. (Possibly the reason I am afraid is that I am too careful, thoughtful, truthful, and rational in everything and/or anything.) There is one simple calculation that I show people how small the chance of having a good, long-lasting marriage can be.
In the US, the chance of getting married and divorce is greater than 50% (let us just assume 50%, which is higher than the actual number), and the chance of being married without divorce and having a dissatisfied married is greater than 90% (let us round the number to 90%).
Now we can do the calculation of the possibility of having a good, long-lasting marriage by this, 50% x (1-90%) = 5%. 5% of chance to have sucessful marriage. That is to have the odd of 5% to begin the marriage. With two rounded numbers and many other negative factors, the chance can be much lower than 5%. In fact, my estimated number/possibility is between 1-2.5%.
Someone, as rational as I, should/would think (more than) twice before getting married.
However [BUT] to my surprise, God seems to have other plan for me.
(To be contined …)